P. Graham: Microsoft is Dead
9 Message(s) by 5 Author(s) originally posted in java advocacy
| From: asjbiotek |
Date: Saturday, April 07, 2007
|
I do not like the guy, but he says what I have been saying to some of my
friends:
http://www.paulgraham.com/microsoft.html
--------------------------------------------------------------
A few days ago I suddenly realized
Microsoft was
dead . I was talking
to a young startup founder about how
Google was different from
Yahoo .
I said that Yahoo had been warped from the start by their fear of
Microsoft. That was why they'd positioned themselves as a "media
company" instead of a
technology company. Then I looked at his face
and realized he did not understand. It was as if I'd told him how much
girls liked Barry Manilow in the mid 80s. Barry who?
Microsoft? He did not say anything, but I could tell he did not quite
believe anyone'd be frightened of them.
| From: Roy Schestowitz |
Date: Saturday, April 07, 2007
|
__/ [ asjbiotek@xxxxxxxxxxx ] on Saturday 07 April 2007 22:58 \__
I do not like the guy, but he says what I have been saying to some of my
friends:
http://www.paulgraham.com/microsoft.html
--------------------------------------------------------------
A few days ago I suddenly realized Microsoft was dead. I was talking
to a young startup founder about how Google was different from Yahoo.
I said that Yahoo had been warped from the start by their fear of
Microsoft. That was why they'd positioned themselves as a "media
company" instead of a technology company. Then I looked at his face
and realized he did not understand. It was as if I'd told him how much
girls liked Barry Manilow in the mid 80s. Barry who?
Microsoft? He did not say anything, but I could tell he did not quite
believe anyone'd be frightened of them.
He isn't the first to make an assertion. The tipping
point goes quite some
time back (in the
context of services in particular).
November 25 [2006] - Microsoft Dies
,----[ Quote ]
| This is the day. The demise of Microsoft. The day of reckoning has
| come at last. Friday 23rd November 2006. Google had seen it's profits
| soar massively. Microsoft on the other hand have had an awful year.
| Low profits, internal scandals, a lowered reputation and a lowered
| customer satisfaction rate have left the company in tatters.
`----
http://globa-tech.blogspot.com/2006/11/november-25-microsoft-dies.html
Of course, the
software division suffers similar issues. Only 12% of the
population intends to give up on old software (remember, it's all about the
apps) and
hop on Vista. Then there's OpenDocument, which could rip Office
(or its cost at the least) apart.
--
~~ With kind regards
Roy S. Schestowitz | LINUX - (L)ove (I)s (N)ever (U)tterly eXPensive
http://Schestowitz.com | RHAT
GNU /
Linux ¦ PGP-Key: 0x74572E8E
run-level 5 Mar 11 15:57 last=S
http://iuron.com - help build a non-profit search
engine
| From: flyer |
Date: Saturday, April 07, 2007
|
In article
<1175983111.344239.205230@xxxxxxxxxxx>,
asjbiotek@xxxxxxxxxxx says...
I do not like the guy, but he says what I have been saying to some of my
friends:
http://www.paulgraham.com/microsoft.html
--------------------------------------------------------------
A few days ago I suddenly realized Microsoft was dead. I was talking
to a young startup founder about how Google was different from Yahoo.
I said that Yahoo had been warped from the start by their fear of
Microsoft. That was why they'd positioned themselves as a "media
company" instead of a technology company. Then I looked at his face
and realized he did not understand. It was as if I'd told him how much
girls liked Barry Manilow in the mid 80s. Barry who?
Microsoft? He did not say anything, but I could tell he did not quite
believe anyone'd be frightened of them.
THAT gave me chills. Incredible observation.
What's Microsoft? Oh it's that early attemp, rather silly one really, to
scrape mold off things with a dull rock.
NOW we have got user inspectable, upgradeable
laser removal systems you
know.
So much for ancient dull rocks.
| From: asjbiotek |
Date: Saturday, April 07, 2007
|
wrote in message:
He isn't the first to make an assertion. The tipping point goes quite some
time back (in the context of services in particular).
November 25 [2006] - Microsoft Dies
,----[ Quote ]
| This is the day. The demise of Microsoft. The day of reckoning has
| come at last. Friday 23rd November 2006. Google had seen it's profits
| soar massively. Microsoft on the other hand have had an awful year.
| Low profits, internal scandals, a lowered reputation and a lowered
| customer satisfaction rate have left the company in tatters.
`----
Interesting...although I'd hesitate to characterize Microsoft in
any way as a company in "tatters"....it simply is starting to
lose its
overly-dominant hold on the IT industry.
| From: Paul Hovnanian P.E. |
Date: Saturday, April 07, 2007
|
More like Microsoft is Undead. It'll continue to roam the land for
years, consuming the flesh of the living until someone chops its head
off.
--
Paul Hovnanian mailto:Paul@xxxxxxxxxxx
------------------------------------------------------------------
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged
demo.
| From: flyer |
Date: Saturday, April 07, 2007
|
In article
<1175994859.595376.166200@xxxxxxxxxxx>,
asjbiotek@xxxxxxxxxxx says...
wrote in message:
> He isn't the first to make an assertion. The tipping point goes quite some
> time back (in the context of services in particular).
>
> November 25 [2006] - Microsoft Dies
>
> ,----[ Quote ]
> | This is the day. The demise of Microsoft. The day of reckoning has
> | come at last. Friday 23rd November 2006. Google had seen it's profits
> | soar massively. Microsoft on the other hand have had an awful year.
> | Low profits, internal scandals, a lowered reputation and a lowered
> | customer satisfaction rate have left the company in tatters.
> `----
>
>
Interesting...although I'd hesitate to characterize Microsoft in
any way as a company in "tatters"....it simply is starting to lose its
overly-dominant hold on the IT industry.
A sellout of Microsoft stock, more possible than is now obvious,'d be
dramatic. Confidence in Microsoft could shatter overnight.
The very new
factor is matured Linux. Hard migration road for sure, but
once people decide, they can get incredibly industrious. I can imagine
the developers and adopters going full bore on this.
I suppose it could be a gradient ride, but the dissolving fear of MS, as
you point out, combined with
loss of confidence, could bring a huge and
fast surprise.
The confidence factor is many times more important than anyone realizes.
Without it, stock value, or any value really, doesn't even exist.
One, or some set of investors could begin a sellout that could peak
within hours if not days. Much stranger things have happend.
It's almost spooky, and is starting to feel like the calm before the
storm.
| From: asjbiotek |
Date: Sunday, April 08, 2007
|
wrote in message:
In article <1175994859.595376.166...@xxxxxxxxxxx>,
asjbio...@xxxxxxxxxxx says...
wrote in message:
> > He isn't the first to make an assertion. The tipping point goes quite some
> > time back (in the context of services in particular).
> > November 25 [2006] - Microsoft Dies
> > ,----[ Quote ]
> > | This is the day. The demise of Microsoft. The day of reckoning has
> > | come at last. Friday 23rd November 2006. Google had seen it's profits
> > | soar massively. Microsoft on the other hand have had an awful year.
> > | Low profits, internal scandals, a lowered reputation and a lowered
> > | customer satisfaction rate have left the company in tatters.
> > `----
> Interesting...although I'd hesitate to characterize Microsoft in
> any way as a company in "tatters"....it simply is starting to lose its
> overly-dominant hold on the IT industry.
A sellout of Microsoft stock, more possible than is now obvious,'d be
dramatic. Confidence in Microsoft could shatter overnight.
The very new factor is matured Linux. Hard migration road for sure, but
once people decide, they can get incredibly industrious. I can imagine
the developers and adopters going full bore on this.
I suppose it could be a gradient ride, but the dissolving fear of MS, as
you point out, combined with loss of confidence, could bring a huge and
fast surprise.
The confidence factor is many times more important than anyone realizes.
Without it, stock value, or any value really, doesn't even exist.
One, or some set of investors could begin a sellout that could peak
within hours if not days. Much stranger things have happend.
It's almost spooky, and is starting to feel like the calm before the
storm.
Here's one Microsoft response...he obviously misses the point:
http://www.networkworld.com/community/?q=node/13582
| From: Roy Schestowitz |
Date: Monday, April 09, 2007
|
__/ [ asjbiotek@xxxxxxxxxxx ] on Sunday 08 April 2007 14:53 \__
wrote in message:
In article
<1175994859.595376.166...@xxxxxxxxxxx>,
asjbio...@xxxxxxxxxxx says...
wrote in message:
> > He isn't the first to make an assertion. The tipping point goes quite
> > some time back (in the context of services in particular).
> > November 25 [2006] - Microsoft Dies
> > ,----[ Quote ]
> > | This is the day. The demise of Microsoft. The day of reckoning has
> > | come at last. Friday 23rd November 2006. Google had seen it's
> > | profits soar massively. Microsoft on the other hand have had an
> > | awful year. Low profits, internal scandals, a lowered reputation and
> > | a lowered customer satisfaction rate have left the company in
> > | tatters.
> > `----
> Interesting...although I'd hesitate to characterize Microsoft in
> any way as a company in "tatters"....it simply is starting to lose its
> overly-dominant hold on the IT industry.
A sellout of Microsoft stock, more possible than is now obvious,'d be
dramatic. Confidence in Microsoft could shatter overnight.
The very new factor is matured Linux. Hard migration road for sure, but
once people decide, they can get incredibly industrious. I can imagine
the developers and adopters going full bore on this.
I suppose it could be a gradient ride, but the dissolving fear of MS, as
you point out, combined with loss of confidence, could bring a huge and
fast surprise.
The confidence factor is many times more important than anyone realizes.
Without it, stock value, or any value really, doesn't even exist.
One, or some set of investors could begin a sellout that could peak
within hours if not days. Much stranger things have happend.
It's almost spooky, and is starting to feel like the calm before the
storm.
Here's one Microsoft response...he obviously misses the point:
http://www.networkworld.com/community/?q=node/13582
June 2006:
The Microsoft malaise
,----[ Quote ]
| "Commentary: Eight signs that the software giant is dead in the water"
`----
http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7B629B28CD-9E0E-48CA-8E8B-243AA6E2CB92%7D&dist=lycos&siteid=lycos
There's a proverb that goes: when two people say you're drunk, go to bed. In
this case, at least 3 parties, on separate occasions and independently, said
the same thing. Rumours about the death of Microsoft are /not/ greatly
exaggerated (the famous quote again).
--
~~ With kind regards
Roy S. Schestowitz | McDonald's does to diet what Microsoft does to PC's
http://Schestowitz.com | GNU isn't UNIX | PGP-Key: 0x74572E8E
roy pts/3 Mon Apr 9 03:34 - 03:36 (00:01)
http://iuron.com - proposing a non-profit search engine
| From: Ramon F Herrera |
Date: Monday, April 09, 2007
|
wrote in message:
More like Microsoft is Undead. It'll continue to roam the land for
years, consuming the flesh of the living until someone chops its head
off.
--
Paul Hovnanian mailto:P...@xxxxxxxxxxx
------------------------------------------------------------------
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged
demo.
A dead snake can still kill you.
-Ramon
Next Message: Abandon JAVA.util.Hashtable and JAVA.util.Vector
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